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Myths of MVP voting: Mike Trout's chances, teammates splitting votes

Last week, we presented an overview of the current state of the MVP and Cy Young races. Moving forward, we'll look each week at some of the key trends and issues. To start, here are Dan Szymborski's updated odds, based on historic voting patterns for the awards:

Let's examine a couple of things.

Mike Trout has zero chance to win the AL MVP.

Well, maybe not zero chance. Dan's formula gave him about a 5 percent chance to win. Still, those are low odds for the player who leads the AL in WAR -- yes, ahead of Jose Altuve and Mookie Betts. Of course, this is something Mike Trout is used to.