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Oregon, Tennessee among college football teams to fade

Can Royce Freeman lead Oregon back to the top of the Pac-12? Scott Olmos/USA Today Sports

We'll normally lead this space with some adjustments and takeaways from the previous week in college football, but let's kick things off with the long view. Being ever-flexible, open-minded and willing to adjust is key, but entering the season every handicapper should have a rough idea of where the money might come from during the year. Ask yourself: Which programs do you know best? About which teams will you have the most useful ongoing information? Where is your assessment more accurate than the prevailing narrative?

We share our own reads on four overvalued teams, including Oregon and Tennessee, we expect to profit from attacking this season, along with Week 1 games to watch and big line moves in the Week 1 and futures markets.


Four teams to fade

Oregon Ducks

The Ducks allowed 488 yards and nearly 38 points per Pac-12 game last year, ranking in the league's bottom three in both scoring and total defense. This year's stop unit loses its four most productive players and will be even worse.