Once again, it's time to tunnel into the numbers of the Chase like an earthworm hopped up on Red Bull. For the final time this year, we'll rank the Chasers in order of their chances at this week's track. This time, it's the 1.5-mile Homestead-Miami Speedway, which has been reconfigured more times than Joan Rivers' face.

As always, I rank the 12 Chasers in order of who I think has the best chance of winning this weekend, based on their career numbers at HMS, recent momentum and how they finished the last time we visited South Florida. Every week I am flooded with "What the hell is a Driver Rating?" questions. If you dare to explore that NASA-like math, check out this explanation from One Bad Wheel. Hint: Anything over 100 is very, very good. Current points rankings are in parentheses.